Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.189631 0.211377 0.233890 0.258883 0.285796 0.313852 0.345256
2025-01-05 0.160273 0.189956 0.222028 0.259077 0.300508 0.345231 0.396972
2025-01-12 0.138616 0.173411 0.212430 0.259043 0.312816 0.372515 0.443402
2025-01-19 0.120759 0.158844 0.203031 0.257427 0.321910 0.395244 0.484256
2025-01-26 0.108194 0.148986 0.197788 0.259479 0.334353 0.421272 0.528734
2025-02-02 0.100461 0.144090 0.197713 0.267066 0.352942 0.454359 0.581670
2025-02-09 0.091057 0.136101 0.192977 0.268213 0.363200 0.477234 0.622464
2025-02-16 0.084092 0.130590 0.190775 0.272023 0.376386 0.503503 0.667439
2025-02-23 0.080068 0.128606 0.192806 0.281004 0.395971 0.537717 0.722445
2025-03-02 0.072338 0.120823 0.186565 0.278687 0.400756 0.553299 0.754398
2025-03-09 0.066340 0.114982 0.182488 0.278826 0.408407 0.572318 0.790638
2025-03-16 0.060438 0.108782 0.177469 0.277291 0.413549 0.587961 0.822593
2025-03-23 0.056837 0.105951 0.177256 0.282607 0.428327 0.616826 0.872649
2025-03-30 0.052291 0.101283 0.174092 0.283578 0.437144 0.637996 0.913089
2025-04-06 0.048012 0.096670 0.170692 0.283953 0.444992 0.657880 0.952029
2025-04-13 0.043662 0.091552 0.166192 0.282443 0.450025 0.673945 0.986055
2025-04-20 0.040633 0.088383 0.164436 0.284760 0.460309 0.697059 1.029548
2025-04-27 0.039185 0.087822 0.166657 0.292950 0.478972 0.731681 1.088680
2025-05-04 0.036351 0.084550 0.164375 0.294214 0.487665 0.752770 1.129920
2025-05-11 0.034325 0.082568 0.164022 0.298312 0.500422 0.779514 1.178992
2025-05-18 0.033515 0.082786 0.167240 0.307936 0.521332 0.817732 1.243957
2025-05-25 0.030517 0.078551 0.162821 0.305461 0.524356 0.831066 1.275193
2025-06-01 0.028226 0.075483 0.160177 0.305614 0.531158 0.849661 1.313713